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Time Series Analysis

Hot Water Forecast

Reykjavik heats its buildings using geothermal hot water. The distribution network has 44 sensors measuring flow in different parts of the network, plus a total flow measurement. Your task: Given 4 weeks of historical data, predict the next 72 hours for all 45 sensors.

Challenge Details

  • Evaluation Metric

    Weighted average based on the pressure of the root mean square error

  • Baseline Model

    Naive 72 hour forecast

  • Time Limit

    10 seconds per prediction

Beginner Tips

  • Get familiar with classical models first and try them out
  • Look for patterns by time of day and day of week in the data
  • Weather data is optional but can significantly improve predictions
  • Training data contains gaps - preprocess carefully

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